Price information
We should consider price forecasting method to achieve the data-driven ideology, which can lessen the influence by irrational factors32,33,34 in the market. Specifically, we formulate the expected return by price forecasting method based on historical information.
PAMR35 and CWMR12 showed that the predicted relative price in next period is inversely to the current period: \(\mathbf {x_{t+1}}=\frac{1}{\mathbf {x_t}}\), which utilized the properties of single-period mean reversion to balance risk and return. Besides, OLMAR3 exploited muti-period mean reversion to solve the…
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